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Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork

Summary

Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated prediction market platform, has partnered with Stork Labs to provide price feeds for blockchain oracle services that power decentralized exchanges and applications. The tie-up is expected to enable the development of perpetual futures contracts tied to prediction markets, where traders bet dollars on real-world events. Kalshi aims to become a referee for decentralized prediction markets, making final calls on whether predictions came true or not.

Prediction Market Growth

The growth of prediction markets in recent months has been significant, with Polymarket’s crypto-based platform seeing billions in trading volume this year, largely driven by the presidential election. The success of Polymarket and other platforms has sparked growing enthusiasm for prediction markets among crypto enthusiasts and adjacent circles.

Kalshi, a late entrant to the election betting boom, is building further ties with the cryptocurrency industry through its partnership with Stork Labs. The company’s regulated environment and unique advantage in resolving disputes make it an attractive partner for decentralized prediction market protocols.

Perpetual Futures Contracts

Initially, Kalshi’s price feeds will power perpetual futures contracts tied to prediction markets on Stork’s network. These "perps" have historically been leveraged bets on cryptocurrency prices but will now enable derivatives on the probabilities of real-world events. The partnership with Stork Labs is expected to benefit decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that want to list perp contracts on prediction markets.

Resolution Services

Kalshi envisions providing resolution services for decentralized prediction markets through Stork’s network, making the final call on whether a prediction came true or not. This will address issues related to resolving disputes and user experience in decentralized markets. Kalshi believes its regulated environment gives it a unique advantage as a resolution provider, with "legal consequences" if it does anything suspicious with its resolution criteria.

USDC Deposits

Kalshi has started accepting deposits of USDC, a stablecoin that trades 1:1 for U.S. dollars. This move is expected to increase liquidity on the platform and may change the way bets are settled, as traders will now be able to place bets using cryptocurrency instead of fiat.

Regulation and Decentralization

Kalshi’s regulated environment provides it with an advantage in resolving disputes and making final calls on predictions. However, decentralized prediction market protocols face challenges related to achieving sufficient decentralization, which can lead to capture by a group of colluding token holders. Kalshi believes its partnership with Stork Labs will help address these issues.

Conclusion

The partnership between Kalshi and Stork Labs is an exciting development in the world of prediction markets. The tie-up has the potential to enable the creation of perpetual futures contracts tied to prediction markets, where traders can bet on real-world events. As the popularity of prediction markets continues to grow, it remains to be seen whether they will sustain their momentum after the election. However, with the help of partners like Kalshi and Stork Labs, decentralized prediction market protocols may become more robust and secure in the future.

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